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Risk-free yields and curves are range-bound and will remain so as central banks strengthen their resolve to encourage a rise in inflation.
Specific and Limited Bearishness
Politics in the US and the UK are contributing to market moves. Uncertainty over US election outcomes is growing, and the stock market seems to be going through a pattern that has been seen in previo ...
Welcome to Fall
The equity market correction, led by the FAANGS, ahead of the US Labor Day holiday may or may not turn out to be sustained. There are plenty of commentators arguing, and hoping, that it will be on th ...
The US Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, has stated that the central bank will tolerate higher future inflation and lower unemployment to a much greater extent than it has done in the past wit ...
Living in a box
The US yield curve has rarely been inverted when the Fed funds rate has been this low. In fact, it has rarely been inverted when the Fed funds has been below 4%.
A view from the markets – True Faith
Forward markets don’t see US 2-year Treasury yields above 1% again for at least five years. The technology sector has just delivered blow-out earnings numbers for Q2.
The strongly developing consensus appears to be pro-Europe relative to the US. A stronger Euro and a negative view on US equities is part of that. The political and health situation in the US is begi ...
The Big H
We are consistently seeing technological progress towards the goal of de-carbonising our economies. Alternative energy is becoming cheaper and more and more activities have the opportunity to shift t ...
Everybody should have an argument with themselves and with others now and again. Arguments rarely end in absolute agreement.